August 15, 2023

Porque é que Biden travou a ajuda à Ucrânia?

 


E quem é Bill Bruns? E porque é que ainda se ouvem os Kissingers deste século se foram eles que estragaram a maior parte do outro? Há alguma razão para Biden estar do lado do criminoso Putin? Está a fazer um pacto maldito com Putin? Está a querer consolidar poder à custa dos ucranianos? Pensei genuinamente que esta guerra fosse um ponto de viragem na ordem internacional, no que respeita a poderes terroristas colonizadores. Se Biden quer a continuidade da política de Trump de conivência com Putin, não é melhor que ele.

Qual é o propósito de Biden? Que a Ucrânia não consiga ganhar a guerra? Os russos em geral têm sido coniventes com os crimes de Putin, mas não estamos à espera que os países do Ocidente também o sejam. Queremos um mundo novo, não a continuidade de Kissingers a apoiar colonialismos imperiais. Se por alguma razão esta guerra for uma oportunidade perdida para acabar com o primado dos imperialistas colonizadores (sobretudo num tempo em que os regimes autoritários estão em ascensão) por responsabilidade dos EUA, o Ocidente enquanto unidade de valores democráticos está perdido e a Europa tem de tornar-se completamente autónoma dos EUA em questões de economia e política internacional.

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Just this week, the Washington Post reported that after months of delay, the F-16 training for the first six Ukrainian pilots will not be completed until next summer! I could not believe the number at first either. NATO is training six pilots. Not 600. Not 60 or 16. Six.

(Ainda esta semana, o Washington Post noticiou que, após meses de atraso, o treino dos primeiros seis pilotos ucranianos nos F-16 não estará concluído antes do próximo verão! De início, também não acreditei nesse número. A NATO está a treinar seis pilotos. Não são 600. Nem 60 ou 16. Seis.)

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The Timeline

DateActionBiden NegotiatorReported by
January 26, 2021Joe Biden holds his first phone call with Vladimir Putin, discussing Ukraine.Joe BidenCNN

February 13, 2021
John Kerry calls Sergei Lavrov.John KerryBarron’s

March 17, 2021Biden calls Putin a killer in an ABC interview.CNN

March 24, 2021
Russia recalls its Ambassador to the U.S.NYT

April 6, 2021
John Kerry meets Sergei Lavrov secretly in Delhi to discuss a potential Biden-Putin summit.John KerryEconomic Times of India

April 16, 2021
U.S. sanctions 10 Russian diplomats over cyber hacks.NBC

April 17, 2021
Russia sanctions 10 diplomats, tells U.S. to recall its ambassador.NBC

May 25, 2021
To secure a summit with Putin, Joe Biden lifts sanctions on Nord Stream 2 Pipeline companies.Joe BidenBloomberg

March to June, 2021
Ahead of the summit, Joe Biden phones Vladimir Putin to apologize for the killer comments, back down.Joe BidenReuters

June 16, 2021
Biden-Putin Summit in Geneva, discussing Ukraine.Joe Biden

July 12, 2021
John Kerry meets Sergei Lavrov in Moscow, calls Putin by phone.John KerryReuters

July 12, 2021

Putin does not meet with Kerry. He leaves Moscow instead to avoid Kerry and calls by phone instead.
John KerryNPR
August 31, 2021
Biden approves $60 million in military aid to Ukraine, but delays delivery until after another round of negotiations with Putin fails in November.
NYT

September 1, 2021
Biden hosts Volodymyr Zelenskyy for a White House visit.White House


November 2-3, 2021
Bill Burns flies to Moscow, meets Sergei Naryshkin.Bill BurnsCNN
November 2, 2021

Putin does not meet with Burns. He leaves Moscow for Sochi to avoid
Burns, but calls by phone instead. After the call, Burns says, “I came away with a very strong impression that Putin had just about made up his mind to go to war.”
Bill BurnsPolitico

November 2, 2021
In Sochi, Putin assembles Russia’s defense companies and generals to prepare to invade Ukraine.Kremlin

November 1, 2021

After failed negotiations with Putin, Biden delivers the weapons promised in August.
NYT

December 5,2021
White House says Putin will invade “as soon as early 2022.”FT

December 7,2021
Biden and Putin call to discuss Ukraine.Joe BidenWhite House

December 9,2021

Biden and Zelenskyy call after the Biden-Putin call.White House
December 10,2021NBC reports Biden has delayed a $200 million weapons package to Ukraine for weeks, despite Zelenskyy’s pleas, while negotiating with Putin instead.Joe BidenNBC

December 30,2021
Biden and Putin call about Ukraine.Joe BidenWhite House

Late December, 2021

After negotiations with Putin break down, Biden approves $200 million in drawdowns from U.S. arms to Ukraine, but no tanks, planes, or heavy weapons.
WaPo

Mid-January, 2022
Bill Burns secretly flies to Kyiv, tells Volodymyr Zelenskyy the Russians are planning to invade Ukraine, assassinate him.Bill BurnsBusiness Insider

January 19, 2022
Biden predicts Putin will invade Ukraine.NBC
February 2-3, 2022
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Mark Milley predicts in Congressional testimony that Kyiv would fall within 72 hours of an invasion, at least partially based on a RAND corporation report.

(Fox) (RAND)
February 12, 2022Biden and Putin call about Ukraine.Joe BidenWhite House

February 18, 2022
Biden “convinced” Putin will invade Ukraine.NPR

February 24, 2022
Putin launches a second, full-fledged invasion of Ukraine.

February 24, 2022
White House officials expect Ukraine to fall in 96 hours.Newsweek

February 26, 2022

Biden approves $350 million in military aid to Ukraine, but no tanks, planes, or heavy weapons.
NYT
March to April, 2022
The U.S. sends small arms, but blocks heavy weapons to Ukraine. The U.S. holds these bargaining chips on the table while negotiations with Russia continue.
CNN

March 9, 2022
The U.S. rejects a Polish plan to send MiG-29 fighter jets to Ukraine.CNN

March 16, 2022

The U.S. does not respond to a Slovakian plan to send S-300s, MiG-29s to Ukraine.
CNN

April 7, 2022

A negotiated land for peace deal falls apart. In response, the U.S. increases military support for Ukraine.
(NPR) (Foreign Affairs)

April 8, 2022

The U.S. finally approves Slovakia’s S-300 transfer, but blocks the MiG-29 transfer.
Reuters

April 10, 2022

Jake Sullivan rejects Ukrainian requests for heavy weapons like jets and tanks, says U.S. will provide Ukraine “the weapons it needs.”
Jake SullivanReuters


April 13, 2022

Biden calls Zelenskyy, offers $800 million in military aid, but rejects the requests for tanks and planes.
White House

April 26, 2022


Lloyd Austin convenes 40+ nations’ militaries at Ramstein Air Base to support Ukraine’s defense.
WaPo

May 13, 2022
Lloyd Austin calls Sergei Shoigu.Defense Department

June 22, 2022

Russia rejects negotiations. Sergei Lavrov flies to Iran instead to undermine U.S.-Iran negotiations.
Reuters


June 23, 2022


After negotiations fail, the U.S. sends HIMARS, its first heavy weapons, to Ukraine.
Reuters

June 23, 2022

But the U.S. altered them to limit their range, effectiveness for fears of “escalation.”
WSJ


July 30, 2022
Antony Blinken calls Sergei Lavrov.CNN

November 6, 2022
Jake Sullivan calls Kremlin officials.Jake SullivanWSJ

November 14, 2022

Bill Burns meets Sergei Naryshkin in Ankara.Bill BurnsGuardian

November 14, 2022
Biden says publicly “We are not going to engage in any negotiation. There’s nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine.”CNN

November 15, 2022
Bill Burns meets Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kyiv.Bill BurnsEuroNews
 
November 16, 2022

Mark Milley says Ukrainian victory unlikely, advocates “political solution.”
VoA

January 14, 2023

The UK announces it will send tanks to Ukraine. The U.S. and other NATO allies wait for negotiations with Putin.
Guardian


January 17, 2023


Sergei Naryshkin agrees to meet Bill Burns in Moscow.
Bill BurnsReuters

January 19, 2023


Bill Burns secretly meets Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kyiv to discuss this deal. The U.S. and Russia deny such negotiations happened.

Bill Burns(AP) (Reuters)

Late January, 2023
Bill Burns secretly meets Sergei Naryshkin in Moscow, reportedly offers 20% of Ukraine to Russia in exchange for peace. The deal falls apart.Bill BurnsNZZ

January 25, 2023

As soon as the deal fails, Germany and the U.S. both immediately agree to send tanks to Ukraine.
NYT


April 4, 2023

Antony Blinken calls Sergei Lavrov.
State Department
Late April, 2023
Richard Haass, Charles Kupchan, and other former White House officials meet Sergei Lavrov in New York. This group has consistently talked with Lavrov, and at least one member has flown to Moscow.
NBC
June 28, 2023
Sergei Lavrov says Kremlin in contact with Jake Sullivan. Per Lavrov, U.S. Ambassador Lynne Tracy calls the Wagner coup “Russia’s internal affair.”
Jake SullivanReuters

June 30, 2023

Bill Burns calls Sergei Naryshkin to discuss “what to do with Ukraine” after the Wagner insurrection.
Bill Burns(Guardian) (NYT)

July 9, 2023

Biden rules out any deal on future NATO membership for Ukraine, leaving a bargaining chip for negotiations with Russia.
CNN

July 14, 2023

Politico
 reports that European partners are still waiting on the U.S. to formally approve training Ukrainian pilots in F-16’s.
Politico

July 22, 2023
Biden elevates Bill Burns to the Cabinet.Bill BurnsAP
July 23, 2023
The Washington Post reports that the U.S. continues to block Ukrainian requests for long-range ATACMS missiles, despite Zelenskyy personally asking Biden in Vilnius.

WaPo
July 23, 2023President Zelenskyy confirms that NATO delays pushed back Ukraine’s counteroffensive by months.CNN
August 11, 2023

The Washington Post reports that after months of delay, only six Ukrainian pilots will be trained to fly F-16’s by next summer.


WaPo

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